The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

York City v Walsall

2026-11-21 15:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

York City (Local)

Prediction 52.09%1.92fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.43%52.06%52.02%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.39%56.34%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Walsall (Visit)

Prediction 25.25%3.96fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.521%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.14%25.20%25.33%25.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.663.603.9028.57%27.30%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.438%
Kelly -0.570%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.68%22.74%22.65%24.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.004.004.3326.67%25.02%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: York City (Local): 52.09%; Walsall (Visit): 25.25%; Draw: 22.66%. For Walsall (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.90, with an expected value of -1.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.43%EV -4.15%E -2.26%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -9.09%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.24%E -3.47%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.51%E -0.387%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -6.24%E -3.47%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -2.77%E -0.720%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.24%E -3.47%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.09%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-14 17:05
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.24%E -3.47%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -15.04%E -4.01%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-14 19:30
picklebet_au🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.24%E -3.47%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.09%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.24%E -3.47%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.35%E -2.92%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.51%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.74%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.58%EV -7.32%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -1.90%E -0.438%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.30%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -13.91%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 22:29
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -7.80%E -4.41%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.09%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-14 23:19
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.63%EV -8.32%E -4.73%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -4.54%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -8.24%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-14 16:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.09%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-14 18:05
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.09%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-14 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.09%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-14 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.09%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-14 18:10
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.84%E -5.05%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-14 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.91%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.36%EV -4.54%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -8.24%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-14 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -11.45%E -6.73%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.09%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-14 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 50.03%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%16.2%2026-11-14 17:20

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.