Language:English
York City v Northampton Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
York City (Local)
Prediction 55.29%1.81fair odd
EV +0.084%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.103%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%54.99%55.27%56.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.8161.73%58.85%58.82%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northampton Town (Visit)
Prediction 20.31%4.92fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -0.945%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.60%20.44%20.34%22.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.394.504.7525.32%22.78%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.40%4.10fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -0.802%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.68%24.57%24.38%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.693.704.0028.57%27.10%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: York City (Local): 55.29%; Northampton Town (Visit): 20.31%; Draw: 24.40%. For York City (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.808. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.810, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.084%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV +0.084%E +0.046%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -16.74%E -4.08%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -10.95%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV +0.084%E +0.046%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -16.74%E -4.08%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -10.95%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -19.79%E -5.01%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -19.79%E -5.01%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -19.79%E -5.01%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -19.79%E -5.01%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -19.79%E -5.01%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -19.79%E -5.01%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -19.79%E -5.01%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -19.79%E -5.01%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.32%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -19.79%E -5.01%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.47%EV -3.23%E -1.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -19.79%E -5.01%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.61%EV -3.79%E -2.18%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -19.79%E -5.01%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -6.59%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -6.59%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 15:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.63%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -4.56%E -0.970%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.59%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -6.59%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.59%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.59%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 10:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -5.57%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 20:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -5.57%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 20:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.65%E -2.42%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.65%E -2.42%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.65%E -2.42%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -10.65%E -2.42%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.55%E -3.88%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.62%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.54%E -0.746%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.61%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.18%EV -5.98%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.21%EV -5.82%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.62%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.66%E -4.59%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.54%E -0.746%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.45%EV -7.66%E -4.59%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.18%EV -6.79%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.66%E -4.59%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -8.62%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.66%E -4.59%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -8.62%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.66%E -4.59%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.62%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.66%E -4.59%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.62%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.66%E -4.59%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -12.07%E -2.79%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.21%E -4.95%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.62%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 10:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -8.21%E -4.95%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.62%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 10:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.76%E -5.31%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -6.59%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 15:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.76%E -5.31%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.59%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 10:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.76%E -5.31%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.59%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -8.76%E -5.31%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.62%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -8.76%E -5.31%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.65%E -2.42%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -9.32%E -5.68%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -4.56%E -0.970%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 17:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -10.42%E -6.43%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -6.59%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -10.42%E -6.43%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -8.62%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.42%E -6.43%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -12.07%E -2.79%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-03 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 53.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.20% | 16.7% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 27.87% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 37.74% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 34.39% | 134.5% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 27.87% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 37.74% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 34.39% | 134.5% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 28.14% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 37.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 34.26% | 135.4% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |