Language:English
York City v Gillingham
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
York City (Local)
Prediction 56.18%1.78fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.24%56.29%55.96%58.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.641.7363.69%60.72%60.98%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gillingham (Visit)
Prediction 20.73%4.82fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.325%
Kelly +0.408%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.95%20.69%20.72%21.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.484.504.9023.81%22.34%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.08%4.33fair odd
EV +3.87%
Edge +0.861%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.83%23.02%23.32%25.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.963.904.5027.78%25.24%25.64%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: York City (Local): 56.18%; Gillingham (Visit): 20.73%; Draw: 23.08%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.86%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -8.78%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV +3.87%E +0.861%K +1.11%G +0.043% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.05%EV -7.86%E -4.79%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.26%EV -2.56%E -0.544%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.69%EV +1.34%E +0.304%K +0.394%G +0.005% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -9.54%E -5.93%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -10.23%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -0.049%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -11.79%E -7.51%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -4.63%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -0.742%E -0.173%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -4.63%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.05%E -0.726%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.63%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.05%E -0.726%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71%EV -7.86%E -4.79%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -8.78%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.05%E -0.726%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71%EV -7.86%E -4.79%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -8.78%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.05%E -0.726%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -3.05%E -0.726%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.80%EV -8.42%E -5.17%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 20.90%EV -8.15%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -4.20%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.15%EV -9.54%E -5.93%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -7.74%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.17%EV -4.20%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.63%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -10.11%E -6.32%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -5.36%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.52%E -0.320%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 13:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.52%E -0.320%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -8.78%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -5.05%E -2.99%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -10.85%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.67%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -6.73%E -4.06%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -4.63%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -6.73%E -4.06%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -4.63%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -10.23%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -7.86%E -4.79%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.78%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.82%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -2.80%E -1.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -2.80%E -1.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -8.78%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.86%E -4.79%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.17%E -3.70%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.79%EV -10.67%E -6.71%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -9.98%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -10.85%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -11.13%E -2.89%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.78%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.98%E -5.54%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -9.54%E -5.93%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -8.78%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -10.11%E -6.32%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -8.78%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.44%E -3.58%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-26 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.47%EV -8.42%E -5.17%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.59%E -3.94%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV +1.59%E +0.325%K +0.408%G +0.006% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.61%E -3.34%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV +1.59%E +0.325%K +0.408%G +0.006% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -16.90%E -4.69%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.72% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.70% | 0.2% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.49% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.49% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.49% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.49% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |