The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Walsall v Salford City

Kickoff: 2026-10-26 20:00 UTC

Final: Walsall 2–4 Salford City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Walsall (Local)

Prediction 28.64%3.49fair odd
EV +0.246%
Edge +0.070%
Kelly +0.098%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%28.53%28.64%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.5033.33%31.26%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salford City (Visit)

Prediction 45.49%2.20fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.39%45.63%45.49%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.042.052.1554.64%48.96%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.87%3.87fair odd
EV -0.404%
Edge -0.105%
Kelly -0.142%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.68%25.84%25.87%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.503.8530.30%28.34%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 28.64%; Salford City (Visit): 45.49%; Draw: 25.87%. For Walsall (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.246%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV +0.246%E +0.070%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -16.75%E -9.16%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 19:55
Pinnacle🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -1.76%E -0.513%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -8.57%E -4.26%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.86%EV -0.922%E -0.241%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 19:43
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -2.05%E -0.598%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -11.53%E -3.37%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 19:50
BetUS🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.48%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.67%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -0.404%E -0.105%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-26 19:55
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -4.05%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.33%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.99%E -0.798%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 19:43
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -4.05%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -8.11%E -4.02%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 19:43
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -4.05%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -8.11%E -4.02%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 19:43
picklebet_au🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 19:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 19:35
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.70%E -0.447%K -0.606%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 19:43
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 19:53
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 19:53
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-26 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 28.26%EV -6.63%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.29%EV -9.48%E -4.76%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.45%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 19:35
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 19:35
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -7.20%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 19:43
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -7.20%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -5.58%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 19:43
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 19:50
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 19:55
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -9.93%E -5.02%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-26 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -4.47%E -2.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.28%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 19:55
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -5.38%E -2.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 19:54
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -2.99%E -0.798%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-26 19:43
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 19:55
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 19:50
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 19:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23%EV -8.57%E -4.26%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.75%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 19:43
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 19:43
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -3.56%E -1.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 09:09
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.87%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 19:55
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -8.16%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-26 19:55
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.02%E -4.51%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-26 19:35
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.30%E -5.79%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.46%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -12.64%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 09:10
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -12.64%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 09:10
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -12.64%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 09:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -12.64%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 09:10
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -12.64%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 09:09
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -12.64%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -12.64%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -12.64%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 09:09
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -12.64%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -6.29%E -3.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 09:10
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -12.64%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.05%E -3.54%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.07%E -4.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -7.20%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -13.34%E -3.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-26 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.07%E -4.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -7.20%E -3.53%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -13.34%E -3.98%K -5.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-26 09:10
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -14.07%E -4.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -6.75%E -3.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.63%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.3%2026-10-26 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-10-26 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-10-26 19:55
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-10-26 19:55
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%1.4%2026-10-26 19:55

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