Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Walsall v Salford City

2026-10-26 20:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Walsall (Local)

Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd
EV -7.31%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.70%26.95%26.97%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.363.403.4430.77%29.80%29.41%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salford City (Visit)

Prediction 46.35%2.16fair odd
EV -6.37%
Edge -3.15%
Kelly -6.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.47%46.35%46.64%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.982.002.0252.36%50.47%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.70%3.75fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.326%
Kelly -0.446%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.39%26.70%26.39%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.443.503.7030.30%29.07%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Walsall (Local): 26.95%; Salford City (Visit): 46.35%; Draw: 26.70%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -1.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.70%EV -7.31%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.47%EV -6.37%E -3.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.20%E -0.326%K -0.446%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 17:35
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -8.22%E -4.15%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:30
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 18:05
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 17:30
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 17:45
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.73%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -9.15%E -4.67%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 17:30
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 17:30
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.08%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:35
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.43%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.29%E -3.65%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 17:35
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -12.43%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -9.61%E -4.93%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 17:35
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.43%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.47%E -6.00%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.