The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Walsall v Oldham Athletic

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Walsall 3–0 Oldham Athletic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Walsall (Local)

Prediction 36.28%2.76fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.758%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.03%36.50%36.23%38.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.7042.55%39.69%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oldham Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 36.52%2.74fair odd
EV +0.423%
Edge +0.154%
Kelly +0.242%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.99%36.28%36.51%37.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.562.7541.67%38.97%39.06%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV +0.654%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.242%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%27.22%27.27%28.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.353.7031.75%29.79%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 36.28%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 36.52%; Draw: 27.20%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.654%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV +0.654%E +0.177%K +0.242%G +0.002%6.3%2026-10-20 18:25
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.47%EV -2.05%E -0.758%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -6.52%E -2.55%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.13%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:30
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:34
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.88%E -2.70%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 18:40
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -1.40%E -0.520%K -0.825%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 12:24
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.36%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-20 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.72%EV -3.14%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.96%EV -5.78%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.32%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-20 18:35
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:40
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-20 18:40
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.53%EV -6.52%E -2.55%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.53%EV -6.52%E -2.55%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-20 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.68%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-20 18:37
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-20 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -14.75%E -6.27%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-20 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-20 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-20 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 18:40
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.87%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 18:39
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.99%EV -7.13%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.42%EV -7.61%E -3.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.59%EV -9.14%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-20 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.99%EV -7.13%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.42%EV -7.61%E -3.01%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.59%EV -9.14%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-20 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -10.03%E -4.04%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.99%EV +0.423%E +0.154%K +0.242%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 09:45
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.98%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-20 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -3.86%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.98%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-20 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-20 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-20 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.53%E -4.30%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-20 18:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 18:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.30%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -11.59%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 18:30
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 09:45
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 09:45
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 09:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 09:45
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 09:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 09:45
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -3.23%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 09:45
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -12.93%E -5.39%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -12.95%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-20 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.59%EV -13.66%E -5.74%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -14.31%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-20 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.59%EV -13.66%E -5.74%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -14.31%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-20 09:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-10-20 18:35
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.40%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.67%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%1.7%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.90%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-10-20 18:40