L’École des cotes

Walsall v Milton Keynes Dons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-23 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Walsall (Local)

Prévision 27.38%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.394%
Kelly -0.546%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.25%27.42%27.35%29.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.303.6032.26%30.15%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.01%2.27cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.12%43.91%44.06%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.122.152.2052.36%47.07%46.51%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.61%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -0.806%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.24%28.67%28.59%29.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.233.253.4034.72%30.98%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.20%EV -7.14%E -3.38%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -3.60%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 19:55
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.78%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 19:54
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.78%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-23 19:40
1xBet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.59%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.35%EV -7.14%E -3.38%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.06%EV -7.89%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 19:50
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -2.74%E -0.806%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-23 19:35
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -2.74%E -0.806%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-23 19:34
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 19:37
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -6.70%E -3.16%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 19:35
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 19:35
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -11.98%E -5.99%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -2.74%E -0.806%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:55
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.98%E -5.99%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-23 19:55
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.46%E -4.07%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 19:30
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.46%E -4.07%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 19:34
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -5.80%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.31%EV -8.02%E -3.84%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.89%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:35
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 19:30
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 19:34
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-23 19:34
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-23 19:34
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.78%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-23 19:50
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -11.98%E -5.99%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-23 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -15.94%E -8.35%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -17.62%E -6.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-23 19:54
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -3.18%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:49
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 19:42
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 19:35
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -11.10%E -5.49%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-23 19:30
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.18%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -3.18%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 19:20
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-23 19:20
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 19:34
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 19:35
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 19:34
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 19:35
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.78%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-23 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -3.18%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-23 19:20
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -3.18%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-23 19:19
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 19:39
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -6.70%E -3.16%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 19:50
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-23 19:35
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-23 19:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-02-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-02-23 19:50
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-02-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-02-23 19:55
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73%2.4%2026-02-23 19:45