Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Walsall v Milton Keynes Dons

Inicio: 2026-02-23 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Walsall (Local)

Predicción 27.38%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.394%
Kelly -0.546%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.25%27.42%27.35%29.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.303.6032.26%30.15%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Predicción 44.01%2.27momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.12%43.91%44.06%46.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.122.152.2052.36%47.07%46.51%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.61%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.806%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.24%28.67%28.59%29.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.4034.72%30.98%30.77%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Walsall (Local): 27.38%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante): 44.01%; Empate: 28.61%. Para Walsall (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.65. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.60, con un valor esperado de -1.42%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.20%EV -7.14%E -3.38%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -3.60%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 19:55
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.78%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 19:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -1.42%E -0.394%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.78%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-23 19:40
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.59%EV -3.61%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.35%EV -7.14%E -3.38%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.06%EV -7.89%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -2.74%E -0.806%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-23 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -2.74%E -0.806%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-23 19:34
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 19:37
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -6.70%E -3.16%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 19:35
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -11.98%E -5.99%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -2.74%E -0.806%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:55
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.98%E -5.99%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-23 19:55
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.46%E -4.07%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 19:30
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.53%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.46%E -4.07%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -5.80%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.31%EV -8.02%E -3.84%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -7.89%E -2.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 19:35
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.17%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 19:30
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 19:34
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-23 19:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-23 19:34
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -9.78%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-23 19:50
Everygame🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -11.98%E -5.99%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-23 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -6.90%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -15.94%E -8.35%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -17.62%E -6.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-23 19:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -3.18%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:49
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 19:42
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-23 19:35
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -11.10%E -5.49%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-23 19:30
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.18%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -3.18%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 19:20
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-23 19:20
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 19:34
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 19:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.32%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-23 19:35
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.78%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.60%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-23 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -3.18%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-23 19:20
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -3.18%E -1.44%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-23 19:19
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.58%E -3.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 19:39
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -11.00%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -6.70%E -3.16%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.89%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 19:50
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:35
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.06%E -1.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.03%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-23 19:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-23 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -15.11%E -4.87%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.38%E -2.50%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.46%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-23 19:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-02-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-02-23 19:50
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-02-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-02-23 19:55
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73%2.4%2026-02-23 19:45