Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tranmere Rovers v Rotherham United

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Final: Tranmere Rovers 2–2 Rotherham United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Prediction 41.51%2.41fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.63%41.50%41.61%42.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.62%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rotherham United (Visit)

Prediction 30.87%3.24fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%30.98%30.89%34.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.962.983.1337.04%33.83%33.61%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV -0.282%
Edge -0.078%
Kelly -0.108%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%27.53%27.50%28.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.313.303.6131.75%30.19%30.30%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 41.51%; Rotherham United (Visit): 30.87%; Draw: 27.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.61, with an expected value of -0.282%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -16.65%E -6.16%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -0.559%E -0.155%K -0.215%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -16.65%E -6.16%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -0.559%E -0.155%K -0.215%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 17:20
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 09:10
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.32%E -0.949%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.84%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 18:04
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:40
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.78%E -2.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -3.37%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -10.78%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -3.68%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:23
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 09:15
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 09:15
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 09:15
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 09:09
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.84%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.84%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:25
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 09:10
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.47%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:25
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.47%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 17:59
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.47%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.47%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.47%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.47%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 18:25
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.01%E -4.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 21:44
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.01%E -4.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 21:44
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.01%E -4.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.01%E -4.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.01%E -4.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.01%E -4.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 21:45
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.01%E -4.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 21:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.01%E -4.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.01%E -4.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 21:44
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -13.56%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 21:45
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.79%EV -7.44%E -3.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.43%EV -0.282%E -0.078%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -7.44%E -3.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -8.93%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.11%EV -7.44%E -3.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -13.56%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -8.27%E -3.74%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -6.77%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -6.64%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:35
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.559%E -0.155%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.32%E -0.949%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:30
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -5.84%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:33
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -15.10%E -5.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -12.99%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 21:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -15.10%E -5.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -12.99%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 21:44
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -9.52%E -4.37%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.76%E -5.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.76%E -5.01%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.47%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 09:10
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -12.84%E -6.11%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-09-01 18:35
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40