Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tranmere Rovers v Rochdale

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Prediction 47.14%2.12fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -5.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%47.14%47.15%48.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.951.952.0154.05%51.21%51.28%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochdale (Visit)

Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV -0.334%
Edge -0.089%
Kelly -0.122%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.58%26.60%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.7530.30%28.65%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.29%3.80fair odd
EV -0.375%
Edge -0.099%
Kelly -0.134%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%26.28%26.25%27.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.7930.30%28.58%28.57%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 47.14%; Rochdale (Visit): 26.58%; Draw: 26.29%. For Rochdale (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -0.334%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -5.26%E -2.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.29%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -0.375%E -0.099%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 15:45
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.334%E -0.089%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 15:15
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-03 19:04
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -6.45%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -5.63%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.45%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.60%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-03 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -0.334%E -0.089%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 16:20
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-03 16:20
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-03 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-03 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-03 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -8.56%E -4.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.56%E -4.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-03 15:15
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.63%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 15:21
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.00%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 15:00
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -12.80%E -6.92%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.25%E -4.02%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-03 15:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:41