Language:English
Tranmere Rovers v Rochdale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tranmere Rovers (Local)
Prediction 46.86%2.13fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.96%46.86%46.84%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.981.982.0753.48%50.47%50.51%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rochdale (Visit)
Prediction 26.41%3.79fair odd
EV -0.959%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.349%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%26.34%26.47%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.453.7530.77%28.91%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.89%26.79%26.69%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.403.403.5930.77%29.45%29.41%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 46.86%; Rochdale (Visit): 26.41%; Draw: 26.73%. For Rochdale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.959%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -3.01%E -1.45%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -3.01%E -1.45%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -5.35%E -2.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.959%E -0.256%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 05:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 07:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.29%E -3.14%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.16%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -7.22%E -3.65%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.03%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.22%E -3.65%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.22%E -3.65%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -7.22%E -3.65%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 07:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.22%E -3.65%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 20:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.22%E -3.65%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.22%E -3.65%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -7.51%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -7.69%E -3.90%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 07:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -7.69%E -3.90%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -14.16%E -4.36%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -8.16%E -4.16%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.45%EV -8.09%E -2.32%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.60%EV -7.51%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.16%E -4.16%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 05:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.16%E -4.16%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 05:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.63%E -4.43%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 07:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -9.57%E -4.96%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 10:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -9.57%E -4.96%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -10.03%E -5.23%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.50%E -5.50%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.50%E -5.50%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-05 05:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.50%E -5.50%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 06:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -12.38%E -6.62%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -2.28%E -0.616%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |