Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.20
assuming max odds 2.45
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 30.86%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 40.58%; Draw: 28.56%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.501. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.500, with an expected value of -0.039%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -1.24%E -0.387%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -15.75%E -5.34%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.30%EV -3.40%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.05%EV -6.27%E -2.71%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.65%EV -5.47%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 00:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.33%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -5.56%E -1.82%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.87%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 11:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -5.87%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -6.18%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -8.30%E -3.67%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -3.83%E -1.62%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -3.83%E -1.62%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 08:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.95%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.95%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -8.95%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -8.95%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -9.92%E -4.47%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 00:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.50%E -3.62%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.03%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -11.12%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -2.62%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -2.89%E -0.851%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 05:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -11.12%E -3.86%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -12.04%E -4.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -0.587%E -0.240%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -12.04%E -4.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -2.62%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -2.62%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -3.43%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -0.039%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.62%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 03:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.62%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 03:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -15.13%E -5.50%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -16.67%E -6.17%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -16.67%E -6.17%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.61%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.88%EV -16.67%E -6.17%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -10.03%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.88%EV -16.67%E -6.17%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -10.03%E -3.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 14:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.40% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.02% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |