Language:English
Tranmere Rovers v Colchester United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tranmere Rovers (Local)
Prediction 29.45%3.40fair odd
EV -0.456%
Edge -0.135%
Kelly -0.192%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%29.52%29.58%31.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.123.103.3833.90%32.02%32.26%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colchester United (Visit)
Prediction 42.26%2.37fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.12%42.21%42.12%43.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.182.3047.62%45.70%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.29%3.54fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.286%
Kelly -0.400%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%28.27%28.29%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.35%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 29.45%; Colchester United (Visit): 42.26%; Draw: 28.29%. For Tranmere Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.38, with an expected value of -0.456%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.19%EV -0.456%E -0.135%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.18%E -2.78%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -2.81%E -0.852%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.95%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -2.81%E -0.852%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.95%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.80%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.61%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.61%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -7.87%E -3.61%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.25%E -5.36%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -5.76%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -10.40%E -4.91%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.23%E -2.30%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 04:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.00%E -0.286%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.71%E -4.03%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.49%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.31%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.17%E -3.34%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.17%E -3.34%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.17%E -3.34%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.24%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 04:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.17%E -3.34%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -9.56%E -4.47%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.17%E -3.34%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -9.56%E -4.47%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.17%E -3.34%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -9.56%E -4.47%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.83%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 08:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 04:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 08:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.66%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 08:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -11.25%E -5.36%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -18.54%E -6.44%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-06 10:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -13.12%E -4.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.39%EV -7.44%E -3.40%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.07%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 03:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83% | 2.7% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |