The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Tranmere Rovers v Cheltenham Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Tranmere Rovers 3–1 Cheltenham Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Prediction 47.44%2.11fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.06%47.41%47.46%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0154.64%51.20%51.28%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cheltenham Town (Visit)

Prediction 26.25%3.81fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.776%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%26.29%26.25%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.503.7030.77%28.82%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.31%3.80fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.31%26.29%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.6330.30%28.66%28.57%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 47.44%; Cheltenham Town (Visit): 26.25%; Draw: 26.31%. For Cheltenham Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -2.87%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.69%EV -4.65%E -2.31%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.41%EV -4.50%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 14:30
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.74%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.88%EV -3.13%E -0.850%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.38%EV -4.76%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 14:40
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 09:10
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.07%E -3.07%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.18%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.69%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.18%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.06%EV -7.02%E -3.58%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-26 15:44
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 14:39
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.87%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:30
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 14:40
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 14:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 14:30
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 15:44
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 15:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 15:45
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 15:45
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.18%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 15:45
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-26 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.14%EV -7.97%E -4.11%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-26 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -8.44%E -4.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -8.44%E -4.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -8.44%E -4.37%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-26 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.96%EV -8.92%E -4.64%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.72%EV -6.02%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 14:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -8.92%E -4.64%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 09:09
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 14:30
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -11.29%E -6.04%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.18%E -7.20%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%2.1%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%2.1%2026-10-31 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%2.1%2026-10-31 14:30
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%2.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%2.5%2026-10-31 14:30