The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Tranmere Rovers v Barnet

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Tranmere Rovers 1–2 Barnet

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Prediction 32.37%3.09fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.419%
Kelly -0.624%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.43%32.20%32.51%33.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.883.0537.04%34.35%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnet (Visit)

Prediction 40.86%2.45fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.74%41.03%40.74%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.4047.62%44.56%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.77%3.74fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.73%26.77%26.75%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.463.503.6030.30%28.93%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 32.37%; Barnet (Visit): 40.86%; Draw: 26.77%. For Tranmere Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:45
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:45
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:45
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:46
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:45
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:45
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:30
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -14.19%E -6.76%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 13:39
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -9.29%E -4.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 13:25
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -9.29%E -4.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.30%EV -12.56%E -5.87%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -10.31%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -13.38%E -6.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.31%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -13.38%E -6.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.31%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 13:45
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:45
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.43%EV -6.43%E -2.81%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -10.31%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.00%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -1.94%E -0.807%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.62%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:50
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:48
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:45
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.55%EV -7.25%E -3.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.31%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:45
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.11%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.62%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.64%EV -7.43%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.90%EV -4.39%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.64%EV -7.43%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.90%EV -4.39%E -1.88%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.62%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:55
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.07%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 13:55
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.07%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 13:51
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.07%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.31%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.62%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.62%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 13:55
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.62%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.62%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.07%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.07%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 13:55
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.07%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.67%EV -8.47%E -3.78%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.15%E -5.65%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 13:55
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -12.61%E -4.67%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-10-17 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-10-17 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-10-17 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-10-17 13:55
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.18%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-10-17 13:55