L’École des cotes

Shrewsbury Town v Walsall

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Prévision 40.90%2.44cote équitable
EV -5.51%
Avantage -2.39%
Kelly -4.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.94%40.92%40.91%41.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.222.272.282.3145.05%43.98%43.86%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Walsall (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.37%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.715%
Avantage -0.204%
Kelly -0.286%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.39%28.34%28.38%29.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.73%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.73%3.25cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.15%30.75%30.71%31.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.003.003.1336.36%33.33%33.33%31.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.715%E -0.204%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -5.35%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 08:49
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.715%E -0.204%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -5.35%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 08:44
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.26%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -4.40%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.45%EV -3.82%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 12:00
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 10:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 11:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -6.28%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:55
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:55
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 05:14
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 05:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.28%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.28%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:45
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.17%EV -7.15%E -3.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.98%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -6.89%E -2.27%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 12:20
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -7.56%E -3.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -6.58%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 12:19
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 05:34
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 11:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 04:09
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:45
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:55
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 05:14
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 04:54
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 04:54
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 04:54
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 11:20
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.89%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 10:30
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.89%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 10:30
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.89%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -15.50%E -5.63%K -8.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-28 11:55
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -9.19%E -4.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 05:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%0.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%0.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-02-28 12:20
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-02-28 12:20
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%1.9%2026-02-28 12:06