La escuela de los momios

Shrewsbury Town v Walsall

Inicio: 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Predicción 40.90%2.44momio equitativo
EV -5.51%
Ventaja -2.39%
Kelly -4.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.94%40.92%40.91%41.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.222.272.282.3145.05%43.98%43.86%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Walsall (Visitante)

Predicción 28.37%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.715%
Ventaja -0.204%
Kelly -0.286%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.39%28.34%28.38%29.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.73%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.73%3.25momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.15%30.75%30.71%31.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.1336.36%33.33%33.33%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.715%E -0.204%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -5.35%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 08:49
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.715%E -0.204%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -5.35%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 08:44
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.26%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -4.40%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.45%EV -3.82%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 12:00
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 10:30
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 11:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -6.28%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 05:49
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:55
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 11:55
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 05:14
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 05:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.92%E -2.57%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:55
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.28%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.28%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:45
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:54
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.17%EV -7.15%E -3.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.98%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -6.89%E -2.27%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 12:20
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -7.56%E -3.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -6.58%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.74%E -1.53%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 12:19
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 05:34
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 11:45
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 04:09
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:45
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 11:55
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 05:14
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 04:54
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 04:54
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 04:54
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 11:20
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.89%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 10:30
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.89%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 10:30
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.89%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -15.50%E -5.63%K -8.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-28 11:55
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -9.19%E -4.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -9.35%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 05:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%0.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%0.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-02-28 12:20
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-02-28 12:20
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%1.9%2026-02-28 12:06