The School of Odds
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Shrewsbury Town v Gillingham

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Shrewsbury Town 1–2 Gillingham

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Prediction 47.26%2.12fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -4.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.86%47.42%47.16%50.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.0255.56%51.37%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gillingham (Visit)

Prediction 25.10%3.98fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.282%
Kelly +0.375%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.55%24.95%25.15%26.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.663.604.0328.99%27.33%27.78%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.65%3.62fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%27.63%27.69%28.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.313.303.4931.25%30.26%30.30%28.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 47.26%; Gillingham (Visit): 25.10%; Draw: 27.65%. For Gillingham (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.81%EV +1.14%E +0.282%K +0.375%G +0.004%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.49%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 14:39
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.383%E +0.096%K +0.128%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -14.94%E -8.30%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV +0.383%E +0.096%K +0.128%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 14:45
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:20
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -2.13%E -0.545%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.50%EV -5.02%E -2.50%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.67%EV -2.88%E -0.744%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.83%EV -5.16%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 14:40
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.24%EV -9.27%E -4.83%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.12%EV -3.63%E -0.946%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -10.21%E -5.38%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.09%EV -4.13%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 21:45
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 14:38
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 12:05
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 04:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 14:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 14:39
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -11.63%E -6.22%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 06:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 10:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 04:15
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 04:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 10:30
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 10:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 07:44
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 08:34
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 08:35
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 14:05
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 08:34
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -8.80%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 10:29
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.76%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 08:34
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.74%E -5.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 14:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -12.58%E -6.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -12.58%E -6.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -12.58%E -6.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -6.91%E -3.51%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 08:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.91%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -8.80%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 04:15
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-28 07:45
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 07:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 07:44
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 07:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 07:44
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 07:45
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 07:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.99%EV -7.85%E -4.03%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -8.32%E -4.29%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-28 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -8.32%E -4.29%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-28 07:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.24%EV -8.80%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-28 07:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%2.9%2026-10-31 14:45