Language:English
Shrewsbury Town v Exeter City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shrewsbury Town (Local)
Prediction 41.05%2.44fair odd
EV +1.79%
Edge +0.723%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.68%40.92%41.07%41.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.252.4846.51%43.70%44.44%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Exeter City (Visit)
Prediction 30.91%3.23fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.33%30.98%30.91%33.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.923.003.1037.74%34.29%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.04%3.57fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.10%28.02%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.253.4132.26%30.72%30.77%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 41.05%; Exeter City (Visit): 30.91%; Draw: 28.04%. For Shrewsbury Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV +1.79%E +0.723%K +1.21%G +0.022% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.99%EV -14.99%E -5.45%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV +1.79%E +0.723%K +1.21%G +0.022% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.99%EV -14.99%E -5.45%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -1.49%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -1.49%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -1.49%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -1.49%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -1.49%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -1.49%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -1.49%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -1.49%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -1.49%E -0.622%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -16.54%E -6.12%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.68%EV -2.31%E -0.972%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -18.08%E -6.82%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.67%E -3.70%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.68%EV -2.31%E -0.972%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -18.08%E -6.82%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -11.67%E -3.70%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.60%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 07:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.60%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.60%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -6.42%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.01%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.64%EV -4.38%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.78%EV -6.83%E -3.01%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.65%EV -6.64%E -2.20%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.57%EV -9.14%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.72%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 07:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 14:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.41%EV -9.14%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 19:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 20:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 04:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 04:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.65%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.17%EV -9.29%E -4.20%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 16:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -4.17%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.07%E -4.22%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.70%E -4.41%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.75%E -5.47%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.75%E -5.47%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -13.07%E -4.22%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.92% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |