Language:English
Shrewsbury Town v Colchester United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shrewsbury Town (Local)
Prediction 37.97%2.63fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.35%38.00%37.90%39.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.452.5543.48%40.80%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colchester United (Visit)
Prediction 33.77%2.96fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.23%33.76%33.77%34.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.722.752.8739.22%36.81%36.36%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.26%3.54fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.814%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.22%28.24%28.33%29.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.203.4432.26%30.98%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 37.97%; Colchester United (Visit): 33.77%; Draw: 28.26%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.44, with an expected value of -2.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -3.17%E -1.24%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -3.17%E -1.24%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 07:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.75%EV -3.93%E -1.55%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.48%EV -6.45%E -2.33%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.77%EV -2.80%E -0.814%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.07%E -2.03%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.34%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.87%EV -5.07%E -2.03%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -3.08%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 04:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.07%E -2.03%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.07%E -2.03%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.07%E -2.03%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.07%E -2.03%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 04:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.07%E -2.03%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.07%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.07%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 07:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -5.83%E -2.35%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-24 07:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.93%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 13:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 13:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.17%E -2.51%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -6.97%E -2.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -13.88%E -5.44%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.41%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-24 07:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.73%EV -7.35%E -3.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.85%EV -8.14%E -2.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.42%EV -8.45%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.73%EV -7.35%E -3.01%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.85%EV -8.14%E -2.99%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.42%EV -8.45%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 13:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.58%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.41%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.41%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.41%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.41%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.87%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -10.99%E -3.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.63%E -4.04%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -11.52%E -4.40%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.77%E -4.58%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -12.66%E -5.51%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.75%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.90% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.90% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.90% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.90% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |