The School of Odds
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Shrewsbury Town v Barnet

2026-08-22 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%25.56%25.59%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.623.603.7528.57%27.59%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnet (Visit)

Prediction 47.86%2.09fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.89%47.82%47.78%48.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.942.0054.05%51.71%51.68%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%26.63%26.62%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.453.463.6030.30%28.97%28.86%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 25.57%; Barnet (Visit): 47.86%; Draw: 26.58%. For Shrewsbury Town (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -4.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 16:59
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 17:00
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 16:49
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 16:50
Pinnacle🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.75%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.07%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.18%EV -4.86%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 17:30
1xBet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -7.44%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.51%EV -6.20%E -3.16%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.76%EV -7.52%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -7.44%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -7.16%E -3.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -7.52%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 17:44
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 17:00
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 16:59
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 17:15
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 17:14
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 16:59
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 16:59
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.68%E -3.43%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 20:00
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.07%E -4.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.77%EV -9.07%E -4.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 16:24
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.47%E -6.20%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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