Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shrewsbury Town v Barnet

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Shrewsbury Town 1–3 Barnet

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV -0.947%
Edge -0.242%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.91%25.25%25.37%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.673.653.9128.57%27.24%27.40%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnet (Visit)

Prediction 47.30%2.11fair odd
EV -4.93%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -4.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.36%47.41%47.34%48.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.941.952.0153.76%51.58%51.28%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.37%3.65fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.55%27.34%27.29%28.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.303.5031.25%29.98%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 25.33%; Barnet (Visit): 47.30%; Draw: 27.37%. For Shrewsbury Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.91, with an expected value of -0.947%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 23.95%EV -0.947%E -0.242%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.77%EV -7.30%E -3.72%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.29%EV -9.41%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:50
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.20%E -0.308%K -0.414%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -1.20%E -0.308%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -1.20%E -0.308%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 04:14
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -1.20%E -0.308%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 04:14
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.73%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 04:14
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -3.73%E -0.983%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.14%E -5.33%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 10:39
Pinnacle🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 25.30%EV -4.49%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.45%EV -4.93%E -2.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -4.75%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.75%EV -10.14%E -5.33%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -4.75%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 05:58
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 04:14
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:55
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.00%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.66%E -5.06%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:53
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 04:14
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 10:00
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 13:53
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.91%EV -5.88%E -2.95%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 10:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.91%EV -5.88%E -2.95%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 10:15
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 13:15
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.35%E -3.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 07:29
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -6.35%E -3.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 07:25
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.50%EV -10.14%E -5.33%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 15:34
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -10.61%E -5.61%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 15:34
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -10.61%E -5.61%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -10.61%E -5.61%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 15:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -10.61%E -5.61%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -10.61%E -5.61%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 15:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -10.61%E -5.61%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 15:34
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -10.61%E -5.61%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 15:34
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -10.61%E -5.61%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 15:50
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.77%EV -11.08%E -5.89%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 15:34
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.35%E -3.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 04:14
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:15
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 10:00
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 12:04
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -7.30%E -3.72%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:50
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 09:04
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 09:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.66%E -5.06%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 04:14
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 10:00
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -11.55%E -6.18%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 04:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.80%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.60%EV -11.08%E -5.89%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-17 15:34
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -8.24%E -4.25%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 04:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.50%EV -12.03%E -6.47%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.42%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -10.07%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.50%EV -12.03%E -6.47%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.42%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 15:34
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:15
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.77%E -3.99%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:55
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.66%E -5.06%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31%1.7%2026-08-22 13:50
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-08-22 13:50