L’École des cotes

Salford City v Shrewsbury Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-24 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Salford City (Local)

Prévision 50.17%1.99cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -4.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.08%50.24%50.19%51.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.831.831.9256.50%54.57%54.64%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.54%4.44cote équitable
EV +2.55%
Avantage +0.560%
Kelly +0.718%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.89%22.49%22.54%24.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.134.204.5526.67%24.20%23.81%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.29%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.484%
Kelly -0.671%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%27.27%27.27%28.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.50%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV +2.55%E +0.560%K +0.718%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV +2.55%E +0.560%K +0.718%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 19:20
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -8.69%E -4.78%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -0.833%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:20
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 50.93%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.10%EV -2.86%E -0.664%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.98%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:30
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -8.69%E -4.78%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 19:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.19%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 19:20
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 19:29
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 19:40
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -11.20%E -6.33%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:15
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -11.20%E -6.33%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -11.20%E -6.33%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 19:30
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.47%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:25
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.47%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:30
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 19:20
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:20
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 19:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:14
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 19:30
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.79%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.80%EV -8.02%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:40
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -1.74%E -0.484%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 19:30
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -6.69%E -3.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:40
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:35
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:35
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-24 19:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-24 19:15
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.42%EV -7.69%E -4.18%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-24 19:25
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.36%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -15.48%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-24 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-24 19:40
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%2.5%2026-02-24 19:40