La escuela de los momios

Salford City v Shrewsbury Town

Inicio: 2026-02-24 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Salford City (Local)

Predicción 50.17%1.99momio equitativo
EV -3.68%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -4.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.08%50.24%50.19%51.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.831.831.9256.50%54.57%54.64%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)

Predicción 22.54%4.44momio equitativo
EV +2.55%
Ventaja +0.560%
Kelly +0.718%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.89%22.49%22.54%24.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.134.204.5526.67%24.20%23.81%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.29%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.484%
Kelly -0.671%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.86%27.27%27.27%28.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.50%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV +2.55%E +0.560%K +0.718%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.95%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV +2.55%E +0.560%K +0.718%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 19:20
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -8.69%E -4.78%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -0.833%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:20
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 50.93%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.10%EV -2.86%E -0.664%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.98%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 19:30
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -8.69%E -4.78%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -4.21%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 19:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.18%E -2.19%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.19%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 19:20
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 19:29
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 19:40
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.41%EV -10.20%E -5.70%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -11.20%E -6.33%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:15
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -11.20%E -6.33%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 19:30
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -11.20%E -6.33%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-24 19:30
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.47%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:25
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.47%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 19:30
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 19:20
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 19:20
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-24 19:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.60%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:14
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 19:30
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.79%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.80%EV -8.02%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 19:40
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -1.74%E -0.484%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.18%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 19:30
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -6.69%E -3.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-24 19:30
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:40
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 19:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:35
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-24 19:35
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-24 19:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-24 19:15
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.19%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.85%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-24 19:30
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.42%EV -7.69%E -4.18%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-24 19:25
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -5.68%E -3.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.36%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-24 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -15.48%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -18.12%E -6.04%K -9.06%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-24 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-24 19:40
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-02-24 19:40
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%2.5%2026-02-24 19:40