Language:English
Salford City v Fleetwood Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Salford City (Local)
Prediction 57.91%1.73fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -4.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.83%57.89%59.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.04%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fleetwood Town (Visit)
Prediction 18.82%5.31fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.224%
Kelly -0.277%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.98%18.96%18.77%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.784.755.2522.73%20.90%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.27%4.30fair odd
EV +4.01%
Edge +0.896%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 4.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.29%23.22%23.33%24.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.974.004.4726.67%25.21%25.00%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 57.91%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 18.82%; Draw: 23.27%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -6.83%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.29%EV +4.01%E +0.896%K +1.15%G +0.046% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.28%E -0.542%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 04:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.28%E -0.542%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.28%E -0.542%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.08%E -5.78%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -2.28%E -0.542%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -1.18%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.00%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -1.18%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.92%E -4.98%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.55%EV -8.50%E -5.38%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -9.08%E -5.78%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -10.24%E -6.61%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.60%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.44%EV -2.50%E -0.482%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.65%EV -6.00%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.40%EV -2.68%E -0.519%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.60%EV -6.23%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.18%E -0.224%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 10:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 08:21 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.08%E -5.78%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -13.41%E -2.92%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -9.66%E -6.19%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.65%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.93%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.39%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.39%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 10:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -8.50%E -5.38%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -11.53%E -2.45%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -8.09%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 10:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.08%E -5.78%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -4.00%E -0.785%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.08%E -5.78%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.77%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.42%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 08:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.30%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 08:36 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.08%E -5.78%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.58%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 13:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -10.59%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.20%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -17.18%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -17.18%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -12.75%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.15% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |