The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Salford City v Exeter City

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Salford City 2–1 Exeter City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Salford City (Local)

Prediction 65.25%1.53fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -8.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.66%65.28%65.25%67.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.431.4775.19%70.32%69.93%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Exeter City (Visit)

Prediction 13.94%7.18fair odd
EV +4.51%
Edge +0.602%
Kelly +0.694%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.52%13.87%14.00%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.596.507.5016.67%15.18%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.82%4.80fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.237%
Kelly -0.300%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.52%20.84%20.75%22.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.364.404.7525.00%22.94%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 65.25%; Exeter City (Visit): 13.94%; Draw: 20.82%. For Exeter City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.18. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +4.51%E +0.602%K +0.694%G +0.031%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 14:15
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +4.51%E +0.602%K +0.694%G +0.031%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +4.51%E +0.602%K +0.694%G +0.031%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 14:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.85%EV -13.22%E -9.94%K -40.06%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.53%EV +0.332%E +0.046%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 14:15
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.23%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.43%EV -1.06%E -0.149%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.34%EV -2.37%E -0.506%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 14:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -2.45%E -0.351%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -2.45%E -0.351%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -2.45%E -0.351%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.45%E -0.351%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 14:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.45%E -0.351%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 14:15
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -8.00%E -5.67%K -19.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -2.45%E -0.351%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -11.53%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 14:45
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -2.45%E -0.351%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -2.45%E -0.351%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -2.45%E -0.351%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -2.45%E -0.351%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 14:14
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.75%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.66%EV -2.73%E -0.392%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -3.62%E -0.782%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 14:45
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.27%EV -2.73%E -0.392%K -0.457%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.21%EV -9.30%E -6.69%K -23.86%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.34%EV -3.85%E -0.558%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -7.35%E -5.17%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -5.24%E -0.771%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 14:15
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -7.35%E -5.17%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -5.24%E -0.771%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.17%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -5.94%E -0.880%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -11.53%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:45
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 14:39
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -1.12%E -0.237%K -0.300%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:30
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 14:10
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 14:29
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.57%EV -7.35%E -5.17%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -9.96%E -7.21%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.42%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.47%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -10.82%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -11.53%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:25
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -10.82%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -10.82%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV -10.82%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV -10.82%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.91%E -2.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.91%E -2.06%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -7.35%E -5.17%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -13.60%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.00%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -15.00%E -2.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -15.00%E -2.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:25
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -15.00%E -2.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -15.00%E -2.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -15.00%E -2.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -15.00%E -2.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -15.00%E -2.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -15.00%E -2.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:25
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -15.00%E -2.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.82%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.73%EV -15.00%E -2.46%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -16.39%E -2.73%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -16.39%E -2.73%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.39%E -2.73%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-10-31 14:30
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.87%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-10-31 14:40

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