The School of Odds
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Rotherham United v Shrewsbury Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Final: Rotherham United 3–3 Shrewsbury Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rotherham United (Local)

Prediction 38.66%2.59fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.00%38.68%38.62%40.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.402.5044.44%42.04%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shrewsbury Town (Visit)

Prediction 32.68%3.06fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.652%
Kelly -0.978%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.12%32.65%32.65%33.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.842.853.0037.04%35.18%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.65%3.49fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.758%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.99%28.67%28.73%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.47%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rotherham United (Local): 38.66%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 32.68%; Draw: 28.65%. For Shrewsbury Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.07%EV -3.34%E -1.34%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -10.13%E -3.68%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.23%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 09:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.07%EV -3.34%E -1.34%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -10.13%E -3.68%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.23%EV -9.17%E -2.89%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 09:25
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -3.34%E -1.34%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -10.13%E -3.68%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 09:25
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -6.20%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -2.58%E -0.758%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 13:40
picklebet_au🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.22%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.38%EV -6.43%E -2.66%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -3.15%E -0.932%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 13:35
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.29%EV -6.43%E -2.66%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.75%EV -7.51%E -2.65%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 13:34
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.22%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.01%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -6.20%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:40
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.22%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:40
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.22%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:40
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:34
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:50
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 13:44
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.44%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 13:34
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:35
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:35
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.13%E -3.68%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.13%E -3.68%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.21%E -3.00%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.13%E -3.68%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -7.98%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -1.96%E -0.652%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -7.98%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -3.59%E -1.22%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 13:30
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.98%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.98%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -7.98%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.58%EV -8.75%E -3.71%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -9.14%E -3.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.22%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 13:50
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -9.14%E -3.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.22%E -1.80%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 13:50
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.14%E -3.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 13:41
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.14%E -3.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -11.76%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 13:45
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -10.30%E -4.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -10.30%E -4.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -10.30%E -4.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -10.30%E -4.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -10.30%E -4.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:50
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -10.30%E -4.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -10.30%E -4.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.97%EV -10.30%E -4.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.39%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -11.07%E -4.81%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 12:25
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -11.07%E -4.81%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -8.49%E -3.03%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -9.74%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.07%E -4.81%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -11.07%E -4.81%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.85%EV -11.07%E -4.81%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -14.04%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.07%E -4.81%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.76%E -4.36%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.17%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-24 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -13.00%E -5.78%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.86%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.31%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 13:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-10-24 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-10-24 13:40
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-10-24 13:45

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