Language:English
Rotherham United v Gillingham
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rotherham United (Local)
Prediction 50.41%1.98fair odd
EV -5.23%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -5.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.43%50.44%50.38%52.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.8857.14%54.75%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gillingham (Visit)
Prediction 22.65%4.41fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -0.788%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.18%22.64%22.66%23.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.004.004.3026.67%25.03%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.838%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.00%26.92%26.96%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.433.453.6030.30%29.12%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rotherham United (Local): 50.41%; Gillingham (Visit): 22.65%; Draw: 26.94%. For Gillingham (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -2.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.23%E -2.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.23%E -2.78%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.31%EV -6.24%E -3.35%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.02%E -0.838%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.31%EV -6.24%E -3.35%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.53%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.02%E -0.838%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.02%E -0.838%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 15:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.71%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.13%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 20:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.13%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 20:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.13%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -9.85%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.25%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.02%E -0.838%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -3.73%E -0.878%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.71%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 13:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -7.13%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -7.13%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 07:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.13%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.25%EV -10.30%E -2.60%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.45%EV -6.25%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.66%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.75%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 07:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.26%E -4.54%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.26%E -4.54%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 15:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -8.76%E -4.84%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -13.93%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -8.76%E -4.84%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -13.93%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -8.76%E -4.84%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -13.93%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -8.76%E -4.84%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -13.93%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -8.76%E -4.84%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -13.93%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -8.76%E -4.84%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -13.93%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -8.76%E -4.84%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -13.93%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -8.76%E -4.84%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -13.93%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -8.76%E -4.84%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -13.93%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.27%EV -9.26%E -5.15%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -4.87%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -9.26%E -5.15%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.13%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 07:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -9.26%E -5.15%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -7.13%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 07:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.26%E -5.15%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -13.93%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.06%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.26%E -5.15%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.26%E -5.15%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.26%E -5.15%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -13.93%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.10%E -3.36%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 16:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.91%EV -9.77%E -5.46%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -15.06%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -10.78%E -6.09%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.40%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -2.60%E -0.605%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 17:21 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82% | 11.9% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |