Language:English
Rotherham United v Chesterfield FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rotherham United (Local)
Prediction 29.25%3.42fair odd
EV -0.561%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.234%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%29.37%29.22%32.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.113.133.4035.09%32.11%32.00%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 43.46%2.30fair odd
EV -0.040%
Edge -0.018%
Kelly -0.031%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.94%43.35%43.38%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.72%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.565%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%27.28%27.40%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.343.333.6131.75%29.98%30.08%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rotherham United (Local): 29.25%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 43.46%; Draw: 27.29%. For Chesterfield FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.301. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.300, with an expected value of -0.040%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -0.561%E -0.165%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.08%E -6.54%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.32%EV -8.30%E -3.93%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.42%EV -6.93%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.06%EV -4.07%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.54%EV -6.99%E -3.27%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.40%EV -1.47%E -0.408%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -3.11%E -0.876%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.86%E -3.71%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.86%E -3.71%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.17%EV -10.04%E -4.85%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.93%EV -8.30%E -3.93%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -6.66%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.04%EV -9.60%E -4.62%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -5.69%E -2.62%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.12%EV -8.30%E -3.93%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -6.12%E -2.84%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -6.12%E -2.84%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -1.75%E -0.485%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.56%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.73%E -4.16%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -15.18%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -15.18%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -15.18%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -15.18%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -15.18%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -15.18%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -15.18%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -15.18%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -15.18%E -5.24%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -15.77%E -5.48%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-25 09:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -15.77%E -5.48%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.83%EV -5.26%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -14.03%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -16.65%E -5.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -0.040%E -0.018%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -16.65%E -5.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -6.12%E -2.84%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -14.03%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-25 09:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -16.65%E -5.84%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -6.12%E -2.84%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -14.03%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-25 09:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |