Language:English
Rochdale v Swindon Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rochdale (Local)
Prediction 42.79%2.34fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.72%42.95%42.77%46.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.34%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Swindon Town (Visit)
Prediction 31.35%3.19fair odd
EV +0.323%
Edge +0.101%
Kelly +0.147%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%31.20%31.43%32.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.962.953.2035.71%33.78%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV +2.91%
Edge +0.731%
Kelly +0.977%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 3.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.92%25.85%25.80%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.553.603.9829.85%28.15%27.78%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rochdale (Local): 42.79%; Swindon Town (Visit): 31.35%; Draw: 25.86%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.47%EV -6.29%E -2.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.61%EV -8.45%E -2.90%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.92%EV +2.91%E +0.731%K +0.977%G +0.028% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 06:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV +0.323%E +0.101%K +0.147%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.842%E +0.216%K +0.290%G +0.002% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 06:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -9.71%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.04%E -0.810%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 05:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -6.71%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-03 13:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 07:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 07:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 06:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-03 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -12.22%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.93%EV -4.57%E -2.05%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.40%EV -1.24%E -0.395%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.67%EV -7.17%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.97%EV -5.00%E -2.25%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.56%E -0.496%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.65%EV -7.43%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 06:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 06:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -2.81%E -0.907%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV +0.323%E +0.101%K +0.147%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.41%EV -7.14%E -3.29%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.30%EV -7.83%E -2.66%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 05:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.74%EV -5.00%E -2.25%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.74%EV -5.00%E -2.25%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -6.71%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 05:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -12.09%E -3.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -4.38%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -12.09%E -3.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.09%E -3.55%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 13:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -8.42%E -3.94%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 06:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.30%EV -9.28%E -4.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.38%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 06:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.51% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |