The School of Odds
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Rochdale v Accrington Stanley

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Final: Rochdale 0–5 Accrington Stanley

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochdale (Local)

Prediction 32.10%3.12fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.11%32.07%32.13%34.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.832.883.0038.02%35.28%34.72%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Accrington Stanley (Visit)

Prediction 40.09%2.49fair odd
EV -0.579%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.392%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%39.98%40.06%40.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.302.4845.45%42.95%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.81%3.60fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.51%27.95%27.81%30.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.293.303.5033.90%30.35%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rochdale (Local): 32.10%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 40.09%; Draw: 27.81%. For Accrington Stanley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -0.579%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.99%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 13:25
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:40
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.69%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -17.97%E -6.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:01
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 13:45
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:25
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -5.94%E -2.03%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.46%EV -8.20%E -3.58%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -7.68%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -6.26%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -6.19%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -6.26%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -6.19%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -6.58%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.49%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 31.66%EV -6.58%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.59%EV -9.00%E -3.96%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.75%EV -7.68%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:55
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:55
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.99%E -3.01%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 13:45
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.99%E -3.01%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 13:45
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 13:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.90%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.80%E -4.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 13:39
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.54%E -2.62%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:55
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -7.54%E -2.62%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.24%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.54%E -2.62%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.54%E -2.62%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:50
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.54%E -2.62%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.54%E -2.62%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.54%E -2.62%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.51%E -2.99%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.80%E -4.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.67%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 13:44
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:40
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -7.80%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -8.60%E -3.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.62%E -2.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 13:55
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.80%E -4.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -10.11%E -3.61%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -11.80%E -5.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-24 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -0.579%E -0.234%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.84%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 10:45
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.72%E -4.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.80%E -4.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.23%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 13:45
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -14.93%E -5.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:46
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -14.93%E -5.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:46
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -14.93%E -5.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:46
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -14.93%E -5.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:46
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -14.93%E -5.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:46
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -14.93%E -5.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:46
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -14.93%E -5.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:46
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -14.93%E -5.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:46
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -14.93%E -5.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -3.79%E -1.58%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 10:46
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -14.93%E -5.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 10:46
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -15.57%E -5.92%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 10:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -15.57%E -5.92%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.01%E -3.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 10:46
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-10-24 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-10-24 13:45
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92%2.3%2026-10-24 13:55