Language:English
Port Vale v Chesterfield FC
Head to Head
Port Vale (Local)
Prediction 35.07%2.85fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.65%35.01%35.11%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.642.632.7538.46%37.81%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 38.00%2.63fair odd
EV -4.99%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.55%38.03%38.04%38.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.432.442.5041.67%41.10%40.98%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%26.96%26.85%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.413.403.5530.30%29.29%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Port Vale (Local): 35.07%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 38.00%; Draw: 26.93%. For Port Vale (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.75, with an expected value of -3.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -3.57%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.99%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 15:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.10%EV -6.02%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.74%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.87%EV -7.42%E -2.81%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -7.65%E -3.15%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.24%EV -8.98%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-10 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-10 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.13%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-10 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.83%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.83%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.09%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.83%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 19:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 34.63% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 37.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.70% | 16.4% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33% | 183.0% | 2026-10-10 16:20 |