Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oldham Athletic v Harrogate Town

Início: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Previsão 55.82%1.79odd justa
EV -3.98%
Vantagem -2.32%
Kelly -5.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.81%55.93%55.83%58.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.641.661.7264.52%61.04%60.24%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Harrogate Town (Visitante)

Previsão 19.22%5.20odd justa
EV +1.85%
Vantagem +0.350%
Kelly +0.431%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.32%19.14%19.25%20.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.934.945.3022.22%20.28%20.24%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.96%4.01odd justa
EV -2.41%
Vantagem -0.617%
Kelly -0.829%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.84%24.93%24.92%27.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.733.753.9130.77%26.83%26.67%25.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Oldham Athletic (Local): 55.82%; Harrogate Town (Visitante): 19.22%; Empate: 24.96%. Para Harrogate Town (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.20. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -12.36%E -7.87%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:54
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:53
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:55
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:55
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -13.47%E -8.69%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -0.069%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -13.47%E -8.69%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -0.069%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -13.47%E -8.69%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -0.069%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:55
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -3.98%E -2.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.47%EV -2.76%E -0.545%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -14.14%E -4.11%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -5.66%E -3.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -2.66%E -0.683%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -5.66%E -3.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -2.66%E -0.683%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.53%EV -8.45%E -5.15%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -7.16%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:49
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.87%E -0.985%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:34
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.87%E -0.985%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:34
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.51%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.22%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.28%EV -2.41%E -0.617%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.83%EV -5.66%E -3.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.66%E -3.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.54%EV -7.33%E -4.42%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:54
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -7.33%E -4.42%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:53
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -7.89%E -4.78%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -7.33%E -4.42%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:39
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -10.12%E -6.29%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.89%E -4.78%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -9.68%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:54
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -7.89%E -4.78%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -9.01%E -5.53%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:45
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-21 14:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.39%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.36%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.36%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.36%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-21 14:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.38%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%2.6%2026-03-21 14:49