La escuela de los momios

Oldham Athletic v Harrogate Town

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Predicción 55.82%1.79momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -5.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.81%55.93%55.83%58.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.661.7264.52%61.04%60.24%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Harrogate Town (Visitante)

Predicción 19.22%5.20momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.350%
Kelly +0.431%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.32%19.14%19.25%20.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.934.945.3022.22%20.28%20.24%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.96%4.01momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.617%
Kelly -0.829%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%24.93%24.92%27.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.733.753.9130.77%26.83%26.67%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -12.36%E -7.87%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:54
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:53
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:55
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:55
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.91%E -8.28%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.85%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:54
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -13.47%E -8.69%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -0.069%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -13.47%E -8.69%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -0.069%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:54
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -13.47%E -8.69%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.47%EV -0.069%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:55
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -3.98%E -2.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.47%EV -2.76%E -0.545%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -14.14%E -4.11%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -5.66%E -3.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -2.66%E -0.683%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:54
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -5.66%E -3.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -2.66%E -0.683%K -0.918%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:40
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.53%EV -8.45%E -5.15%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -7.16%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:44
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -3.91%E -0.783%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:49
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.87%E -0.985%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:34
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -4.87%E -0.985%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:34
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.51%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.22%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.28%EV -2.41%E -0.617%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:45
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.83%EV -5.66%E -3.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:54
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.66%E -3.35%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:49
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.54%EV -7.33%E -4.42%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:54
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -7.33%E -4.42%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:53
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -7.76%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:54
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.10%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Sky Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.13%EV -7.89%E -4.78%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -7.33%E -4.42%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:39
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -10.12%E -6.29%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.72%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.89%E -4.78%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -9.68%E -2.06%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:54
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:54
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -7.89%E -4.78%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:54
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -9.01%E -5.53%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -11.60%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 14:45
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.77%E -4.06%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.41%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -13.52%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-21 14:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.39%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.36%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.36%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.36%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-21 14:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.38%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.30%2.6%2026-03-21 14:49