The School of Odds
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Oldham Athletic v Exeter City

2026-11-21 15:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Prediction 47.17%2.12fair odd
EV -5.67%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -5.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.32%47.26%47.29%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.941.952.0054.05%51.51%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Exeter City (Visit)

Prediction 28.14%3.55fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.359%
Kelly +0.496%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.00%27.86%28.04%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.273.6032.26%30.07%30.53%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.70%4.05fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.302%
Kelly -0.403%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.46%24.88%24.67%26.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.604.0028.57%27.14%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oldham Athletic (Local): 47.17%; Exeter City (Visit): 28.14%; Draw: 24.70%. For Exeter City (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.60, producing a positive expected value of +1.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.67%E -2.83%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +1.29%E +0.359%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-14 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +1.29%E +0.359%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -1.52%E -0.435%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.52%E -0.435%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-14 19:00
picklebet_au🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -1.52%E -0.435%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -2.93%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 18:05
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -2.93%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-14 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.81%EV -7.08%E -3.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.03%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.403%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-14 17:15
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-14 23:19
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 17:05
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 18:05
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 18:10
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.50%EV -6.14%E -3.09%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.83%EV -9.68%E -3.02%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-14 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.71%EV -7.08%E -3.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.03%E -4.12%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -8.97%E -4.65%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-14 21:59
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -12.74%E -6.89%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-14 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 47.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%16.8%2026-11-14 17:20

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