The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oldham Athletic v Crawley Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Oldham Athletic 0–1 Crawley Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Prediction 57.33%1.74fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -5.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.25%57.26%57.45%60.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.631.621.6866.67%61.53%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Crawley Town (Visit)

Prediction 19.90%5.03fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.382%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.40%19.89%19.81%21.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.594.604.9523.81%21.78%21.74%20.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.77%4.39fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.269%
Kelly -0.350%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%22.84%22.73%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.984.004.3426.67%25.14%25.00%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 57.33%; Crawley Town (Visit): 19.90%; Draw: 22.77%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.34, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -3.69%E -2.19%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 15:10
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 14:40
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 14:40
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.19%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 15:09
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 15:09
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 15:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 15:10
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 15:10
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.66%EV -6.55%E -4.02%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -1.51%E -0.304%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.03%EV -1.17%E -0.269%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 14:39
picklebet_au🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.55%E -4.02%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 14:40
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -6.55%E -4.02%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -6.55%E -4.02%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -12.45%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 15:09
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.27%EV -1.71%E -0.345%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.40%E -0.322%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.49%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:40
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.23%EV -8.87%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -2.50%E -0.511%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.33%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -2.50%E -0.511%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -12.33%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 14:45
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 14:40
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.05%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.42%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -13.45%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-26 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.42%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -13.45%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-26 15:10
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 14:39
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -4.49%E -0.936%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 14:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -6.48%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.84%E -3.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -14.60%E -3.89%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 14:39
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.46%E -2.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -1.40%E -0.322%K -0.419%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.63%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.33%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -16.43%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.20%EV -8.84%E -5.56%K -14.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -10.05%E -2.54%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -10.56%E -6.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.47%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.91%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -14.00%E -9.34%K -28.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -2.50%E -0.511%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.36%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-31 14:40
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%1.8%2026-10-31 14:40