The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oldham Athletic v Cheltenham Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Oldham Athletic 4–1 Cheltenham Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Prediction 55.08%1.82fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.19%55.02%55.08%58.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.691.701.7863.69%59.03%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cheltenham Town (Visit)

Prediction 20.45%4.89fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.452%
Kelly +0.565%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.60%20.42%20.50%22.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.474.505.0025.00%22.40%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.47%4.09fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.712%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.55%24.42%25.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.723.754.0028.57%26.88%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 55.08%; Cheltenham Town (Visit): 20.45%; Draw: 24.47%. For Cheltenham Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -9.12%E -5.52%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +2.26%E +0.452%K +0.565%G +0.013%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -13.52%E -8.61%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV +0.215%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.58%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -10.22%E -6.27%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -1.83%E -0.381%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.25%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:50
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -2.85%E -0.601%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -5.07%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -2.85%E -0.601%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:38
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -2.85%E -0.601%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -9.12%E -5.52%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.85%E -0.601%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -2.13%E -0.534%K -0.712%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -10.77%E -6.65%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -2.85%E -0.601%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.25%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.33%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.08%EV -3.06%E -0.645%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.59%EV -5.32%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -6.91%E -4.09%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.88%E -0.825%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -4.58%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 13:39
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -4.90%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.92%E -3.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:40
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -4.90%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.92%E -3.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.82%EV -9.12%E -5.52%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.81%EV -4.90%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.37%EV -7.52%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:45
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.01%EV -5.31%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -7.52%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 13:45
picklebet_au🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.56%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -3.36%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.58%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:35
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.58%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.58%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -8.25%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.80%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 13:40
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.91%E -4.09%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 13:40
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -7.46%E -4.44%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -5.80%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.46%E -4.44%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:40
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.46%E -4.44%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 13:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -6.91%E -4.09%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -9.47%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.46%E -4.44%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.47%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:40
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -7.46%E -4.44%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.47%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:49
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.92%E -3.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:40
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.92%E -3.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.92%E -3.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.97%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.92%E -3.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -10.01%E -2.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -8.25%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -10.01%E -2.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -8.25%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.12%E -5.52%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.01%E -2.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.25%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -9.12%E -5.52%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.01%E -2.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.47%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -10.77%E -6.65%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -10.01%E -2.28%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -9.47%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -7.03%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.45%EV -1.95%E -1.10%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -13.08%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -10.70%E -2.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -16.15%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.14%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -16.15%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.14%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -16.15%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.14%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -16.15%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.14%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -16.15%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.14%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:40
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -16.15%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.14%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -16.15%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.14%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -16.15%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.14%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:40
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -16.15%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.14%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:39
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -16.15%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.37%E -4.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.19%EV -5.81%E -3.40%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -18.19%E -4.55%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.37%E -4.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.19%EV -5.81%E -3.40%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -18.19%E -4.55%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.37%E -4.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-10-17 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-10-17 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-10-17 13:45
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-10-17 13:40
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.71%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-10-17 13:55