Language:English
Oldham Athletic v Accrington Stanley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oldham Athletic (Local)
Prediction 58.71%1.70fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.810%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.99%58.55%58.67%60.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.6865.79%62.44%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Accrington Stanley (Visit)
Prediction 18.48%5.41fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.300%
Kelly +0.366%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.43%18.57%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.974.905.5021.74%20.14%20.41%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.80%4.39fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.35%23.02%22.76%25.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.933.954.2028.17%25.45%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 58.71%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 18.48%; Draw: 22.80%. For Accrington Stanley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.41. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +1.65%E +0.300%K +0.366%G +0.006% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV +1.65%E +0.300%K +0.366%G +0.006% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -7.23%E -4.58%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.65%E +0.300%K +0.366%G +0.006% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -6.50%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.99%E -5.80%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -2.05%E -0.387%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 05:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -10.76%E -7.08%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -2.05%E -0.387%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.97%E -0.566%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.97%E -0.566%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -8.99%E -5.80%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -2.97%E -0.566%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.92%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.99%E -5.80%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -2.97%E -0.566%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 06:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.99%E -5.80%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -2.97%E -0.566%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 06:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -10.17%E -6.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -2.97%E -0.566%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 04:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -8.99%E -5.80%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -5.74%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.50%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.32%EV -6.48%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.50%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.85%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.60%EV -7.04%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.36%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.59%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.59%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.22%E -1.00%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.59%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.50%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.59%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 04:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.59%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.59%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -8.99%E -5.80%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -7.59%E -1.52%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -14.48%E -3.86%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -9.44%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -6.50%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.44%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -12.20%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 20:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.44%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -12.20%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 20:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -9.44%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -9.44%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -8.41%E -5.39%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -9.44%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -9.92%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -5.47%E -3.40%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.50%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -1.36%E -0.810%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -1.36%E -0.810%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -1.36%E -0.810%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -1.36%E -0.810%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -1.36%E -0.810%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -1.36%E -0.810%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -1.36%E -0.810%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -1.36%E -0.810%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -1.36%E -0.810%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -1.36%E -0.810%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -1.36%E -0.810%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.50%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.50%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.06%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -10.17%E -6.65%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.29%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -13.34%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 04:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -7.82%E -4.98%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -12.21%E -2.57%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.78%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-03 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.99%EV -3.71%E -2.26%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -14.99%E -3.26%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.40%EV -19.04%E -5.36%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-05 11:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.14%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.99%E -3.26%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -19.04%E -5.36%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.13% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.88% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |