The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oldham Athletic v Accrington Stanley

2026-10-10 11:30 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Prediction 58.16%1.72fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.33%57.73%58.22%59.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6764.52%62.54%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Accrington Stanley (Visit)

Prediction 18.90%5.29fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -0.712%
Kelly -0.885%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.07%19.25%18.92%21.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.804.805.1023.26%20.83%20.83%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.94%4.36fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.367%
Kelly +0.475%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 4.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.52%23.02%22.85%23.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.024.004.4326.67%24.87%25.00%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oldham Athletic (Local): 58.16%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 18.90%; Draw: 22.94%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.43, producing a positive expected value of +1.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.59%EV -6.94%E -4.34%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.88%EV -4.57%E -0.906%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.52%EV +1.63%E +0.367%K +0.475%G +0.008%4.9%2026-10-03 16:54
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.65%E -0.869%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 18:40
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.85%EV -7.52%E -4.73%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.60%EV -4.95%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -4.80%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.52%E -4.73%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.85%E -6.35%K -17.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -3.63%E -0.712%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.94%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-03 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.52%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-03 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.92%EV -6.94%E -4.34%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -4.61%E -2.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.94%E -4.34%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-03 18:39
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.68%E -5.53%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 16:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.68%E -5.53%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.68%E -5.53%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.68%E -5.53%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.68%E -5.53%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -8.24%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-03 16:55
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -9.38%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 17:46
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -6.94%E -4.34%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -10.24%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.53%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-03 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -4.61%E -2.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -18.75%E -4.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.68%E -3.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-03 14:25
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.68%E -5.53%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.97%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-03 18:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-03 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-03 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-03 18:05