L’École des cotes

Notts County v Tranmere Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Notts County (Local)

Prévision 55.66%1.80cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -5.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.27%55.71%55.56%57.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.681.7362.50%59.56%59.52%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.03%5.25cote équitable
EV -0.070%
Avantage -0.013%
Kelly -0.017%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.67%19.02%19.13%20.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.354.764.805.2522.99%21.00%20.83%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.30%3.95cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -0.877%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.18%25.28%25.30%26.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.643.603.8228.99%27.49%27.78%26.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.12%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -10.54%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:00
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -10.54%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -17.20%E -3.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.18%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:00
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.070%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.070%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 15:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.59%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.58%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.53%EV -2.35%E -0.459%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.89%EV -3.35%E -0.877%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 14:59
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:56
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:59
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -17.20%E -3.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.39%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.62%EV -17.20%E -3.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -12.71%E -3.68%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 15:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.12%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:58
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.59%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.59%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 15:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:59
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.21%EV -7.60%E -4.58%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.81%EV -0.261%E -0.050%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.99%EV -9.17%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:59
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.84%EV -7.60%E -4.58%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -7.68%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.60%E -4.58%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.73%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.18%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.070%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.59%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.54%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.18%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:00
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.35%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 14:59
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.71%E -5.31%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.73%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.65%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:59
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.71%E -5.31%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.73%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.65%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:59
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -9.82%E -6.06%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -0.070%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 15:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -9.82%E -6.06%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.82%E -6.06%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.12%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:00
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.94%E -6.84%K -18.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%2.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 67.11%5.40I 18.52%NM 13.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 19.10%34.2%2026-02-21 15:00