La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Notts County v Tranmere Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Notts County (Local)
Predicción 55.66%1.80momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -5.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.27%55.71%55.56%57.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.681.7362.50%59.56%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tranmere Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 19.03%5.25momio equitativo
EV -0.070%
Ventaja -0.013%
Kelly -0.017%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.67%19.02%19.13%20.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.354.764.805.2522.99%21.00%20.83%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.30%3.95momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -0.877%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.18%25.28%25.30%26.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.643.603.8228.99%27.49%27.78%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:56 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -3.70%E -2.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.12%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -10.54%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -10.54%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.90%EV -17.20%E -3.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.18%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.070%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.60%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.070%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.59%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.58%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.53%EV -2.35%E -0.459%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.89%EV -3.35%E -0.877%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.58%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -17.20%E -3.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.39%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.62%EV -17.20%E -3.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -12.71%E -3.68%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.12%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 14:58 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.59%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.59%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.21%EV -7.60%E -4.58%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 17.81%EV -0.261%E -0.050%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.99%EV -9.17%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.84%EV -7.60%E -4.58%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -7.68%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.60%E -4.58%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.73%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.18%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.070%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.59%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.64%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.54%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.18%E -2.87%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.35%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.71%E -5.31%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.73%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.65%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| BetUS | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.05%EV -8.71%E -5.31%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -6.73%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.65%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -9.82%E -6.06%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -0.070%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -9.82%E -6.06%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -9.82%E -6.06%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -5.12%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.94%E -6.84%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.83%E -0.966%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.86%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.82% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.11I 90.09%NM 67.11% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 13.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 19.10% | 34.2% | 2026-02-21 15:00 |