L’École des cotes

Notts County v Barnet

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Score final : Notts County 1–2 Barnet

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Notts County (Local)

Prévision 35.32%2.83cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.395%
Kelly -0.615%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.14%35.46%35.38%38.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.332.552.602.8042.92%39.28%38.46%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barnet (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.16%2.69cote équitable
EV +0.327%
Avantage +0.121%
Kelly +0.193%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.72%37.08%37.14%40.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.502.7043.48%39.48%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.52%3.63cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.92%27.45%27.48%29.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.20%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -15.94%E -6.70%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -17.00%E -7.23%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -1.53%E -0.578%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.25%EV -17.71%E -7.60%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -2.27%E -0.864%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.20%EV -8.88%E -3.44%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.39%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.20%EV -8.88%E -3.44%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.39%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -15.94%E -6.70%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -3.39%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.29%EV -13.30%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.57%EV -5.34%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.95%EV -4.13%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.47%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -4.87%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.76%EV -4.99%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -5.62%E -2.21%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.42%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.36%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:58
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:58
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:00
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:59
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada2.64I 37.88%NM 34.34%EV -6.76%E -2.56%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.41%EV -7.48%E -3.00%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.56%E -4.86%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -1.11%E -0.395%K -0.615%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -14.54%E -6.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -14.54%E -6.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -17.43%E -5.81%K -8.72%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.81%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.72%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.54%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.85%1.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 34.83%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.68%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%3.3%2026-04-18 14:00