La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Notts County v Barnet
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Notts County (Local)
Predicción 35.32%2.83momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.615%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.14%35.46%35.38%38.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.332.552.602.8042.92%39.28%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Barnet (Visitante)
Predicción 37.16%2.69momio equitativo
EV +0.327%
Ventaja +0.121%
Kelly +0.193%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.72%37.08%37.14%40.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.502.7043.48%39.48%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.52%3.63momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.92%27.45%27.48%29.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.20%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -15.94%E -6.70%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV +0.327%E +0.121%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -17.00%E -7.23%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -1.53%E -0.578%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.25%EV -17.71%E -7.60%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -2.27%E -0.864%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.20%EV -8.88%E -3.44%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.39%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.20%EV -8.88%E -3.44%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -3.39%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -15.94%E -6.70%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -3.39%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.29%EV -13.30%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.57%EV -5.34%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.95%EV -4.13%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.47%EV -4.50%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -4.87%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -15.23%E -6.35%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.76%EV -4.99%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -5.62%E -2.21%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.42%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -6.36%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:58 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.10%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.34%EV -6.76%E -2.56%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.41%EV -7.48%E -3.00%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -6.40%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.70%E -4.68%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.18%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betsson | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -7.46%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.56%E -4.86%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -1.11%E -0.395%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -14.54%E -6.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -8.17%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -14.54%E -6.32%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -17.43%E -5.81%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.81% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.72% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.54% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.85% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.83% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |