Language:English
Northampton Town v Rotherham United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northampton Town (Local)
Prediction 39.34%2.54fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.658%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.82%39.31%39.35%40.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.352.352.5044.84%42.64%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rotherham United (Visit)
Prediction 32.71%3.06fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.31%32.72%32.63%34.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.832.832.9537.04%35.34%35.34%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.95%3.58fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.376%
Kelly -0.524%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%27.97%28.02%29.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.273.5332.26%30.51%30.53%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northampton Town (Local): 39.34%; Rotherham United (Visit): 32.71%; Draw: 27.95%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.53, with an expected value of -1.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -1.65%E -0.658%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 09:21 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -6.14%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.36%EV -5.19%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.76%EV -8.10%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.87%EV -1.33%E -0.376%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.16%E -0.618%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 04:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 17:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-17 14:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-17 14:16 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-17 14:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-17 14:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.96%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -3.56%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -3.56%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.26%EV -7.15%E -3.03%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 15:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.56%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.15%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-17 20:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 15:16 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.32%EV -7.94%E -3.39%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.22%EV -9.41%E -3.40%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-17 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-17 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.06%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-17 20:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.64%EV -9.91%E -4.33%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.42%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-17 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.55%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.15%EV -12.27%E -5.50%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -6.79%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.55% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |