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Northampton Town v Rotherham United

2026-09-19 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northampton Town (Local)

Prediction 42.54%2.35fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.934%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.40%42.50%42.60%42.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.182.182.3047.17%45.77%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rotherham United (Visit)

Prediction 30.59%3.27fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.80%30.62%30.49%32.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.003.003.1034.72%33.28%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.837%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.01%26.89%26.91%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.6132.26%29.53%29.41%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Northampton Town (Local): 42.54%; Rotherham United (Visit): 30.59%; Draw: 26.86%. For Northampton Town (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -2.15%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -2.15%E -0.934%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -11.89%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 17:41
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.28%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:41
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.01%EV -3.02%E -0.837%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 17:35
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.75%E -3.31%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.98%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 17:41
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 17:45
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-12 17:41
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -6.52%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 19:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.90%EV -8.10%E -3.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -7.00%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 17:54
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 18:10
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 18:10
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 18:10
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -16.72%E -5.39%K -7.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.67%EV -9.38%E -4.40%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 17:55
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -9.81%E -4.63%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93%4.6%2026-09-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.93%4.6%2026-09-12 19:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%7.3%2026-09-12 19:21
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 34.89%2.98I 33.56%NM 26.46%2.04I 49.02%NM 38.65%26.8%2026-09-12 19:21