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Northampton Town v Oldham Athletic

2026-11-03 19:45 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northampton Town (Local)

Prediction 31.66%3.16fair odd
EV -6.60%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.44%31.66%31.66%32.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.902.902.9535.71%34.53%34.48%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oldham Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 37.10%2.70fair odd
EV -6.51%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.63%37.10%37.10%38.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.462.482.5242.02%40.68%40.40%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.24%3.20fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.506%
Kelly -0.741%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.69%31.24%31.24%31.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.882.972.953.1534.72%33.67%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Northampton Town (Local): 31.66%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 37.10%; Draw: 31.24%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.15, with an expected value of -1.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -6.60%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -1.59%E -0.506%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 18:31
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.44%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -6.51%E -2.58%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -9.10%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 18:25
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -9.10%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 18:50
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -4.72%E -1.55%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 18:31
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 18:25
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.03%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.03%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.19%E -2.82%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.25%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.03%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -8.82%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -3.16%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 18:31
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.82%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.96%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.28%E -2.09%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 18:31
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.70%E -4.92%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.40%E -3.24%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 19:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-24 18:55