The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Northampton Town v Colchester United

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 11:30 UTC

Final: Northampton Town 2–0 Colchester United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northampton Town (Local)

Prediction 45.63%2.19fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.50%45.75%45.62%48.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.022.022.1054.05%49.51%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colchester United (Visit)

Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV +5.60%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.099%

assuming max odds 4.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.03%25.20%25.24%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.623.554.1730.30%27.60%28.17%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.05%3.44fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.362%
Kelly -0.512%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.60%29.04%29.14%30.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.223.203.4032.79%31.07%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northampton Town (Local): 45.63%; Colchester United (Visit): 25.32%; Draw: 29.05%. For Colchester United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.84%EV -6.92%E -3.39%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV +5.60%E +1.34%K +1.77%G +0.099%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 11:20
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.89%EV -7.38%E -3.64%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.88%EV +5.35%E +1.29%K +1.69%G +0.091%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -15.59%E -8.43%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV +3.83%E +0.934%K +1.24%G +0.047%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 11:16
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV +1.30%E +0.324%K +0.432%G +0.006%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 11:05
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.36%EV -9.66%E -4.88%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -1.24%E -0.317%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -11.03%E -5.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -1.24%E -0.317%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 11:16
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.24%EV -6.01%E -2.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -2.50%E -0.650%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 11:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.24%EV -6.01%E -2.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -2.50%E -0.650%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 11:05
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 11:05
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -11.03%E -5.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 11:09
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 11:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.77%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 11:10
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.03%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 11:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 11:14
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 11:10
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 04:25
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.30%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 04:25
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.40%EV -6.92%E -3.39%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.10%EV -6.55%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -8.78%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.55%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.14%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.31%EV -8.78%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 11:05
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -1.23%E -0.362%K -0.512%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 04:14
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 04:15
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -11.03%E -5.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.83%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 06:55
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -5.10%E -2.45%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 11:10
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 11:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.16%EV -8.29%E -4.13%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 11:16
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.66%E -4.88%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.10%E -2.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.19%E -1.99%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.23%E -0.362%K -0.512%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 04:15
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -5.10%E -2.45%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 04:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.68%E -0.801%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.68%E -0.801%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 08:24
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.68%E -0.801%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 08:25
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.68%E -0.801%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 08:24
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.68%E -0.801%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 08:25
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.68%E -0.801%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.68%E -0.801%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 08:24
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.68%E -0.801%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.68%E -0.801%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.68%E -0.801%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 08:24
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 04:14
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 11:10
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 11:10
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 04:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.47%E -3.15%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 04:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.75%E -4.37%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 04:25
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -11.03%E -5.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.90%E -4.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-22 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.03%E -5.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -15.16%E -4.53%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-22 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.76%EV -11.49%E -5.92%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -15.16%E -4.53%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.74%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-22 08:25
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.67%EV -9.66%E -4.88%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.43%E -4.98%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-24 04:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-10-24 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-10-24 11:05
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-10-24 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.6%2026-10-24 11:25
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.65%2.2%2026-10-24 11:16

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.