Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Newport County v York City

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — League 2

Testa a testa

19 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Newport County (Casa)

Previsione 26.40%3.79quota equa
EV -0.996%
Vantaggio -0.266%
Kelly -0.362%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.23%26.44%26.47%27.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.513.503.7529.41%28.46%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

York City (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.41%2.07quota equa
EV -5.60%
Vantaggio -2.87%
Kelly -5.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.32%48.40%48.57%49.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.901.911.9554.64%52.65%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.19%3.97quota equa
EV -3.79%
Vantaggio -0.992%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.22%25.16%24.96%25.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.653.653.8228.57%27.41%27.40%26.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Newport County (Casa): 26.40%; York City (Trasferta): 48.41%; Pareggio: 25.19%. Per Newport County (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.79. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.75, con un valore atteso del -0.996%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (19 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -0.996%E -0.266%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -2.32%E -0.626%K -0.858%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 20:15
Pinnacle🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.01%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.41%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.58%EV -3.79%E -0.992%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 18:10
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -7.05%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 20:15
1xBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -8.02%E -4.22%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -8.32%E -2.29%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 20:15
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.55%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 20:30
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.98%E -4.78%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.33%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 20:15
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.07%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 16:31
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.60%E -2.87%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.33%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 16:31
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -9.47%E -5.06%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 18:10
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -10.44%E -5.64%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 18:08
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -8.50%E -4.50%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.29%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 15:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -7.05%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.85%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 18:19
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.85%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 20:05
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.85%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.85%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.85%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 20:10
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.41%E -6.23%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.85%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-10 18:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%12.0%2026-10-10 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%12.0%2026-10-10 20:20
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 34.85%1.88I 53.19%NM 37.44%2.54I 39.37%NM 27.71%42.1%2026-10-10 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 49.09%1.93I 51.81%NM 32.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 18.61%60.4%2026-10-10 20:20