Language:English
Newport County v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newport County (Local)
Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -0.923%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.91%24.90%25.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.703.9028.57%26.95%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 48.90%2.04fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -4.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.60%48.87%48.99%50.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.901.9555.56%52.82%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.14%3.83fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.523%
Kelly -0.714%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.22%26.12%27.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.75%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newport County (Local): 24.95%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 48.90%; Draw: 26.14%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.68%E -0.687%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.98%E -6.65%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.83%EV -4.18%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.40%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.18%EV -4.42%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -7.98%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 13:42 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.10%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.75%EV -9.53%E -5.15%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.15%EV -7.98%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.64%E -2.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 13:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 08:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 08:57 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -1.96%E -0.523%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-26 06:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.64%E -2.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 06:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.27%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -5.62%E -2.91%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 09:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.13%E -2.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 09:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -5.13%E -2.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.81%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 09:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -6.11%E -3.18%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -6.11%E -3.18%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-26 06:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-26 06:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 08:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 08:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 08:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 08:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 08:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 08:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 08:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.57%EV -9.53%E -5.15%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-21 15:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37%EV -9.53%E -5.15%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -13.73%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-21 15:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.57%E -4.01%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -6.60%E -3.45%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.51%E -5.74%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-26 06:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.43% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10% | 2.2% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |