A Escola das Odds

Harrogate Town v Cheltenham Town

Início: 2026-02-27 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Harrogate Town (Local)

Previsão 38.62%2.59odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.599%
Kelly -0.985%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.07%38.48%38.56%40.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.442.452.5544.44%40.98%40.82%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cheltenham Town (Visitante)

Previsão 32.49%3.08odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -0.840%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.18%32.64%32.58%36.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.762.803.0039.22%36.17%35.71%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.89%3.46odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.523%
Kelly -0.740%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.33%28.88%28.86%29.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.233.253.4032.26%30.96%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:49
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:49
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:49
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:49
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 19:19
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:29
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:19
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:19
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -12.27%E -4.54%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:19
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 19:50
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 12:35
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 19:50
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 19:29
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 19:29
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:29
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:29
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 39.61%EV -6.93%E -2.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.52%E -0.840%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 19:39
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 19:29
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -5.12%E -1.75%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -6.69%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 19:39
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -8.13%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:29
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:34
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:35
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:39
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:39
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:29
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.05%EV -7.71%E -3.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:30
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -5.12%E -1.75%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 19:29
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -5.12%E -1.75%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 19:29
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%EV -8.86%E -3.76%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.46%EV -7.07%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.21%EV -4.95%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 19:34
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%EV -8.86%E -3.76%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.46%EV -7.07%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.21%EV -4.95%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 19:34
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.25%E -3.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 19:34
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.25%E -3.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -1.78%E -0.523%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:39
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -6.74%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:35
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 19:29
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 19:29
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -13.11%E -5.83%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-27 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-27 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-27 19:34
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%2.1%2026-02-27 19:34