La escuela de los momios

Harrogate Town v Cheltenham Town

Inicio: 2026-02-27 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Harrogate Town (Local)

Predicción 38.62%2.59momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.599%
Kelly -0.985%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.07%38.48%38.56%40.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.452.5544.44%40.98%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cheltenham Town (Visitante)

Predicción 32.49%3.08momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.840%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.18%32.64%32.58%36.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.762.803.0039.22%36.17%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.89%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.523%
Kelly -0.740%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.33%28.88%28.86%29.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.233.253.4032.26%30.96%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:49
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:49
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:49
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:49
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -1.53%E -0.599%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 19:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 19:19
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:29
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:19
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:19
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -12.27%E -4.54%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:19
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 19:50
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 12:35
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -17.14%E -6.72%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-20 19:50
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 19:29
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 19:29
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:29
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.39%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:29
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 39.61%EV -6.93%E -2.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.52%E -0.840%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 19:39
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 19:29
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -5.12%E -1.75%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -6.69%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 19:39
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -8.13%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 19:29
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:34
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:35
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:39
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:39
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:39
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:29
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.05%EV -7.71%E -3.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 19:30
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -5.12%E -1.75%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 19:29
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -5.12%E -1.75%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 19:29
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.02%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:24
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%EV -8.86%E -3.76%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.46%EV -7.07%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.21%EV -4.95%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 19:34
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33%EV -8.86%E -3.76%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.46%EV -7.07%E -2.47%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.21%EV -4.95%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 19:34
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -9.25%E -3.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 19:34
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.25%E -3.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -1.78%E -0.523%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:39
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.68%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.80%EV -6.74%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:35
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -5.77%E -1.99%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 19:29
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 19:29
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -13.11%E -5.83%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -6.42%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-27 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-27 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-02-27 19:34
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%2.1%2026-02-27 19:34