Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Harrogate Town v Bromley FC

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 15:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Harrogate Town (Local)

Prediction 19.28%5.19fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.234%
Kelly +0.289%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.36%19.20%19.40%20.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.734.705.2522.73%21.13%21.28%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bromley FC (Visit)

Prediction 55.41%1.80fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -6.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.90%55.45%55.34%57.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.681.681.7262.89%59.67%59.52%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.35%25.26%26.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.603.8129.41%27.44%27.78%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harrogate Town (Local): 19.28%; Bromley FC (Visit): 55.41%; Draw: 25.31%. For Harrogate Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.19. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.34%EV +1.23%E +0.234%K +0.289%G +0.004%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.32%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.34%EV +1.23%E +0.234%K +0.289%G +0.004%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.32%EV -5.25%E -3.07%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:00
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV +1.23%E +0.234%K +0.289%G +0.004%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.32%EV -11.89%E -7.48%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -3.59%E -0.719%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:00
1xBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.59%E -0.719%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.59%E -0.719%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:58
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.59%E -0.719%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:59
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.59%E -0.719%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -3.59%E -0.719%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.43%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:59
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.52%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.52%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Pinnacle🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.70%EV -6.87%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -3.58%E -0.940%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -7.45%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Codere (IT)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -7.45%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -9.68%E -5.94%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:00
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -8.41%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.36%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.41%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:59
Neds🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.41%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:59
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -8.41%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.41%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.87%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -8.39%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.41%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:00
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.41%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.43%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.41%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:59
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.38%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:59
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.38%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:00
Bovada🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -9.38%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:59
BetUS🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -9.38%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:59
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -9.38%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:59
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:00
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.43%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.43%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:59
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -11.31%E -2.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-21 15:00
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.23%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:59
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.23%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:59
Everygame🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -13.23%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:59
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -13.23%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:00
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -13.23%E -2.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.02%E -4.83%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:00
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -15.16%E -3.45%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -6.91%E -4.11%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20%1.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20%1.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.20%1.7%2026-02-21 15:00
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%2.4%2026-02-21 15:00
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 18.39%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%6.6%2026-02-21 15:00