Language:English
Harrogate Town v Bristol Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Harrogate Town (Local)
Prediction 37.10%2.70fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.23%37.04%37.15%38.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.502.6241.67%40.05%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bristol Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 34.73%2.88fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%34.74%34.72%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.672.692.7538.46%37.44%37.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.16%3.55fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.571%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.63%28.22%28.12%29.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.253.5032.26%30.74%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harrogate Town (Local): 37.10%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 34.73%; Draw: 28.16%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -2.79%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -3.53%E -1.36%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.69%E -3.73%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%EV -5.39%E -2.11%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.19%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.41%EV -1.99%E -0.572%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.50%E -2.58%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.92%E -2.58%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.50%E -2.58%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.92%E -2.58%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.90%EV -6.87%E -2.74%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.69%EV -7.26%E -2.72%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -8.19%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.90%EV -6.87%E -2.74%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.69%EV -7.26%E -2.72%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -8.19%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.48%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.48%E -1.63%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -8.65%E -3.29%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -4.24%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.00%E -3.43%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.96%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.69%E -3.73%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.28%E -3.58%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.28%E -3.58%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.28%E -3.58%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.28%E -3.58%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.28%E -3.58%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.28%E -3.58%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.28%E -3.58%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -11.28%E -3.58%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -9.00%E -3.43%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.96%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.96%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -7.96%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -7.96%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.24%E -2.90%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -7.96%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.69%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.96%E -3.00%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.00%E -3.43%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.69%E -3.73%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -8.47%E -2.61%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.00%E -3.43%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.10%E -3.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.69%E -3.73%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.88%E -3.09%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -1.43%E -0.408%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.22%E -2.30%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -1.43%E -0.408%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.95%E -4.56%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.69%E -3.73%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.06%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.99% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 1.6% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.90% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.17% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.80% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.83% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.98% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19% | 2.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |