The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Grimsby Town v York City

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 12:30 UTC

Final: Grimsby Town 5–2 York City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prediction 41.17%2.43fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.51%41.24%41.09%43.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.262.252.3548.78%44.24%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

York City (Visit)

Prediction 32.97%3.03fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.64%32.96%32.99%34.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.802.9538.46%35.79%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.457%
Kelly -0.621%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.89%25.80%25.92%27.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.553.553.8030.30%28.20%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 41.17%; York City (Visit): 32.97%; Draw: 25.86%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 12:00
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 11:59
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 12:00
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 12:00
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 12:00
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.39%EV -4.89%E -2.12%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -2.74%E -0.928%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%EV -5.62%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 12:05
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.07%EV -5.38%E -1.87%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 11:23
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 11:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.84%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.56%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 12:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.84%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.56%EV -5.71%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 12:04
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -10.98%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -13.37%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 11:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.05%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:33
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.05%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -5.05%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 12:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 11:20
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 11:35
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.42%EV -8.67%E -3.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.43%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 11:35
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 12:04
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.79%E -3.13%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 12:05
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.05%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 12:04
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 11:35
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 11:35
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 12:04
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -12.63%E -4.77%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -14.67%E -4.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -12.63%E -4.77%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -14.67%E -4.44%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.26%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.28%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -8.60%E -3.87%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.50%E -2.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -1.74%E -0.457%K -0.621%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 11:35
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 11:35
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 11:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 12:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 12:04
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.68%E -2.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.20%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 12:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.33%E -3.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 11:50
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.98%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.91%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 11:35
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -14.28%E -5.49%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -3.03%E -0.808%K -1.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 11:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.98%E -4.07%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.08%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 11:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -15.60%E -7.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -6.04%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 11:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-10-31 12:20
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-10-31 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-10-31 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-10-31 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-10-31 12:20