Language:English
Grimsby Town v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grimsby Town (Local)
Prediction 57.45%1.74fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.16%57.25%57.51%59.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.7164.52%61.30%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 18.89%5.29fair odd
EV +3.90%
Edge +0.710%
Kelly +0.867%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.33%18.94%18.83%20.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.834.855.5022.73%20.72%20.62%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.66%4.23fair odd
EV +2.20%
Edge +0.510%
Kelly +0.664%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 4.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.07%23.82%23.65%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.843.904.3228.57%26.03%25.64%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 57.45%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 18.89%; Draw: 23.66%. For Shrewsbury Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +3.90%E +0.710%K +0.867%G +0.034% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -0.821%E -0.156%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -10.95%E -7.07%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -1.77%E -0.339%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.23%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -3.65%E -0.717%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.07%EV +2.20%E +0.510%K +0.664%G +0.015% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 11:16 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.49%EV -3.95%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.24%EV -9.23%E -5.84%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.36%EV -6.79%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.59%EV -8.65%E -5.44%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -9.23%E -5.84%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.92%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -10.38%E -6.65%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -5.54%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.54%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.02%EV -5.73%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.18%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.55%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -6.55%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.43%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -6.55%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.55%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -8.65%E -5.44%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -9.32%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -0.636%E -0.151%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -10.27%E -2.16%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -1.76%E -1.03%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -12.46%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -1.76%E -1.03%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -11.21%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -12.46%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -6.93%E -4.28%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-28 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-28 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-28 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-28 14:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-28 14:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-28 14:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-28 14:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-28 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.30%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-28 14:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.45%EV -4.63%E -2.79%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.99%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-28 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -16.88%E -3.84%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -17.20%E -4.91%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-28 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.87% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 0.5% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.70% | 0.5% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.30% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 13:40 |