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Grimsby Town v Shrewsbury Town

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prediction 56.73%1.76fair odd
EV -5.27%
Edge -3.15%
Kelly -7.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.60%56.70%56.75%57.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.631.641.6762.89%61.22%60.98%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shrewsbury Town (Visit)

Prediction 19.74%5.07fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.63%19.67%19.81%20.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.704.705.0023.09%21.29%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.53%4.25fair odd
EV -4.92%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.95%23.62%23.44%24.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.923.944.0426.67%25.54%25.38%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Grimsby Town (Local): 56.73%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 19.74%; Draw: 23.53%. For Shrewsbury Town (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -1.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.27%E -3.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -1.30%E -0.260%K -0.325%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.86%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.86%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.21%EV -4.92%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.86%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.04%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 19:09
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.86%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 15:10
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-26 16:10
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-26 16:14
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.97%E -4.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.668%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 19:00
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.87%EV -7.54%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.60%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.53%EV -7.28%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 16:00
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -7.54%E -4.62%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -9.20%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-26 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -1.30%E -0.260%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.86%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-26 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -8.67%E -5.39%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -7.22%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.86%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-26 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.22%EV -8.67%E -5.39%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -6.24%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.38%EV -7.28%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -9.24%E -5.77%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.53%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-26 15:18
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -9.81%E -6.17%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 56.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%16.7%2026-09-26 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-26 16:45